Question to author:
I am writing a precis of this book.
In the do-calculus inference rules, I understand how the subgraph is generated from the submodel do(X = x), Gx, the removal of direct causes and therefore d-separation is a valid test for conditional independence. However I don't understand the submodel for subgraphs representing the removal of direct effects. Would you please explain the submodel I could use to explain this subgraph and what distribution it represents.
Author's reply:
Dear Susan,
The removal of direct effects leaves us with a graph
in which X cannot effect Y, so if X and Y are not
d-separated in that graph it must be due to (unblocked)
confounding paths between the two.
Therefore, if we condition on a set Z of variables that blocks all
such paths we are assured that we have neutralized all
confounders and whatever dependence we measure after such
conditioning must be due to the causal effect of X on Y, free
of confoundings. This gives us the license to equate
measured dependence with the causal effect.
Next discussion (Hoyer: The meaning of counterfactuals )